Chicago Bears rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky tried on Wednesday to pump the brakes on the continued hysteria surrounding his preseason debut.

“I don’t know what you’re talking about,” Trubisky said of Mitch Mania. “I don’t pay attention to it.”

For the most part, Danny Trevathan JerseysTrubisky said he successfully stayed in the bunker as Chicago reveled in his performance (18-of-25 for 166 yards and one touchdown) last Thursday at Soldier Field.“A couple more people texted me after the game -- family congratulating me,” Trubisky said. “I think it’s just a small step in the right direction. I’ve still got a lot of work to do. I was pleased with how I played, but plenty more mistakes are going on during practice for me that I need to work on and continue to improve in my game and make sure when I go out there that I’m doing my job to help other people do their job.

“I think it just showed me that I’m making progress, Walter Payton Jerseysthat I could go out there and lead and do my job like I wanted to show. But it was just a small sample. It was the first game, and you’ve just got to continue to be consistent in reproducing it. That’s why we’re out here working and practicing.”

Practice is where Trubisky can identify the majority of his flaws. Trubisky had no trouble with the vanilla scheme of Denver's second-string defense last week. But on the practice field, Trubisky often is shown looks he’s never seen before.

“[At practice], Kevin White JerseysI’ve been taking the wrong drop a couple times, Jordan Howard Jerseys[and I’m working on] getting the correct Mike [linebacker call] down so we have it blocked correctly,” Trubisky said. “[I’m working on] just being more efficient. The game was actually pretty clean; it’s more in practice.”

Saturday's game against the Cardinals is an even bigger test for Trubisky, who is expected to play sometime after the Bears pull starter Mike Glennon.

Arizona coach Bruce Arians won’t be bashful about showing stuff in the preseason. Alshon Jeffery JerseysDon’t be surprised to see the Cardinals go after Trubisky, who’s working on blitz recognition in practice but didn’t face much extra pressure in the Broncos game.

三季度经济数据今公布 GDP增速或回落至7.5%

今日,国家统计局将发布2012年三季度主要经济数据,除将揭晓三季度国内生产总值(简称GDP)走势以外,还将公布包括9月份固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额等月度经济数据。10月以来,多项已公布的重要宏观经济数据都有所回升,市场普遍认为,三季度GDP增速在7.5%左右,经济筑底信号明显,持续下滑态势将就此终结。

  GDP增速或将“筑底”

  2012年10月15日,国家统计局发布的最新数据显示,9月份居民消费价格指数(简称CPI)上涨1.9%,再次进入所谓的“1时代”,通胀水平得到明显缓解;甚至有学者预计,中国经济即将有陷入通货紧缩的可能。

  与此同时,随着欧美等国对圣诞产品需求的增加,我国9月份出口的强势回暖,也让三季度GDP增速的预测更为乐观。据海关总署最新数据显示,9月份我国进出口总值为3450.3亿美元,同比增长6.3%。其中,出口总额超过1863亿,同比增长9.9%,创下我国单月出口规模历史最高值。

  因此,《中国证券报》17日报道称,多位分析人士表示,由于9月部分经济数据向好传递出积极信号以及去年四季度基数较低等因素,三季度将是今年经济的底部,四季度GDP增速或将小幅反弹。

  市场普遍预计,三季度GDP增速可能是7.5%,弱于二季度的7.6%,四季度经济肯定会回升。据《京华时报》11日报道显示,中信证券首席经济学家诸建芳报告预计,三季度GDP同比增长7.5%左右,环比增长约1.8%。其中,光大银行预测的同比增速则为7.1%,为预测中的最小值,申银万国预测增速为7.6%,为预测中的最大值。

  国务院发展研究中心金融所综合研究室主任陈道富认为,三季度是今年经济的底部,四季度经济无论同比还是环比都会好于三季度。因为经济的去库存因素消除,国际形势好转,再加上去年四季度的经济数据较差,基数较小,预计四季度经济会稳住略有回升。

  无独有偶,社科院金融所银行研究室主任曾刚在近日接受中新网财经频道采访时也表达了同样的看法,他认为,目前来讲,中国经济还是比较求稳的状态,此前实施的一系列经济刺激政策还是成功的,随着经济的逐步企稳,第四季度宏观调控的空间更大,再度出台一些刺激政策的可能性很大。

  此外,针对今年四季度的经济走势,中国银行国际金融研究所曾预计,受政策刺激和基数效应影响,四季度中国GDP增速有望达到8.2%,全年中国GDP增幅为8%左右,略高于7.5%的调控目标。

  政策预调微调力度或加大

  虽然四季度经济回暖已成各预测机构的共识,但业内专家并不看好反弹的持续性。陈道富就指出,四季度经济出现反弹但不一定稳定,对明年经济保持谨慎乐观。明年的各种因素复杂程度会提高,压力会增大,经济可能呈现震荡走势,要企稳回升还需要政策的进一步配合,保持现有适度宽松的货币政策和稳健的财政政策。

  就此,《中国证券报》8日消息就指出,当前政策主基调仍是“稳中求进”,预调微调力度会有所加大,但不应过于激进。当前总体流动性较为合理适度,可以满足实体经济增长需要,这种“紧平衡”格局也有助于应对潜在通胀压力。

  兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示,三季度GDP同比增速可能回落至7.4%,因此,货币政策可能会相应推出降准、降息的对策,但考虑到此前两次降息后,房地产出现“三载调控一日回复”状态,以及当年日本泡沫经济生成机制,并不建议继续降息。他强调,可考虑引导金融机构利用浮动空间调节作用,适度容忍经济调整,更多采取市场化手段。

  然而,综合来看,过多的经济刺激政策对流动性影响加大,在潜在通胀压力仍大的情况下,货币政策不易过多的调整和放松。交通银行首席经济学家连平在近期接受中国经济网采访时也表示,“稳增长”是当前宏观调控的主要任务,但鉴于物价运行变化和外围流动性宽松格局等因素的影响,未来通胀压力也不容忽视。因此,未来货币和信贷增长应保持平稳适度,既要满足实体经济发展需要,又不宜过快。

 
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